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Precious Metals Market Blog

THE IRIDIUM REPORT

11/2/2020

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The following is a high level overview of the Iridium market.
If you and your organization are interested in a deeper dive subscription report, please contact me.

​Iridium 20-Year Historical Fix

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Ruthenium Market Overview

10/31/2020

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This blog post will cover the Ruthenium Market and provide an Supply/Demand Overview
If your interested in a full length subscription report on Ruthenium, please contact met.

First of all, some perspective on the Precious Metals Supply and Market Size

All Precious Metals Mined + Recycle Supply & Total Avail. Revenue $385B, Ruthenium only $743M.

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Precious Metals Basket Market Overview Since 2019

7/18/2020

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Basket Fix Comparison Since January 2019
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Precious Metals Basket Since January 2019:
  • Rhodium (+258%) and Palladium(+60%) has enjoyed the biggest climb due to their structural deficit serving primarily the auto emission control catalyst materials markets.
  • Gold (+40%) and Silver (+25%) have enjoyed a boost more recently in 2020, especially post the March-April 2020 COVID-19 market impact.
  • PGM Minor Iridium (+12%) is on the climb in 2020 due solely to industrial demand and South African Mining disruptions.
  • Platinum (+5%) has enjoyed a bit of an investors driven boost in demand, but is also suffering from mining disruptions.
  • Ruthenium (+2%) has had an up and down ride.

      Let’s quickly look at each one and key ratios and relationships.

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Corona Virous Market Reset & The Precious Metals Markets

3/2/2020

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Precious Metals 2019 A Year in Review

1/4/2020

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2019 witnessed a dramatic increase in Rhodium, Palladium, and Platinum, with substantial increases in Gold, and Silver. 
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2010-2019 Recap: 
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1. Rhodium is up an astonishing 145% y/y in 2019                                                        
  • 2019 witnessed the biggest percent increase Jan-Dec in the past decade.
  • 85+% of the demand is from Auto Catalyst and glass production is another primary source of demand.
  • Real word test conditions and tightened requirements in the EU and China are driving the projected 15% increase in demand, even with flat global vehicle sales.
  • Central element that drives the catalyst NOX suppression to meet the latest emission requirements.


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Is Rhodium Pulling A Thelma & Louise?

8/30/2019

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For three years I have been preaching to all of Precious Metals industry analysts that this structural deficit on Rhodium is just getting worse and worse.  The Rhodium fix since 2016 reflects that.  April 1, 2016 saw Rhodium at $740/Toz.  Today, August 30, 2019 it’s at $5,000/Toz.   That is a whopping 6.75x increase.
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Overview of the Pt and Ru Demand during Recent HDD Technology Transitions

8/10/2019

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The Hard Disk Drive Industry PMR Transition 2006-2008

The Hard Disc Drive (HDD) industry has enjoyed a 50+ year lifespan.  HDD’s have enjoyed multiple significant technology transition during that 50+ year span.  One of the most dramatic technology transition by the entire HDD industry was a transition from Longitudinal Recording, to today’s Perpendicular Magnetic Recording (PMR).  The use of Ruthenium layers on the media had a transformative impact on the bit density of the data stored on HDD’s.  The HDD industry shocked the PGM market starting in 2006-2008 with a huge demand for Ruthenium PVD Sputtering Targets to sputter these layers of ruthenium on the media to enable this higher density HDD.  The yield impact of this technology on a per drive basis was huge, over $2/HDD in drive yield benefit.  Executives throughout the HDD industry could not transition their entire product portfolio’s quick enough to this new recording technology.  The impact on the Ruthenium market was profound.

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The Auto Catalyst Precious Metals Dilemma

8/8/2019

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A Brief Emission Control Systems Background:
Platinum Group Metals (PGM’s), specifically Palladium, Platinum, and Rhodium are essential ingredients to today’s three-way auto catalyst emission control systems.  They enable significant reductions in Carbon Monoxides (CO2), Hydrocarbons (HC), Particulate Matter (PM), Sulfur Oxides (SOX) and Nitrogen Oxides (NOX)  into the environment.   All of these are primary contributors to air pollutions.  Lead efforts to reduce automobile emissions started in the early 1960’s.  Then in the 1975 vehicle model year, new emissions standards, as well as the increase in fuel usage, forced the invention of the catalytic converter after-treatment of the exhaust gas.  This is when PGM global demand really took off.  Mining in S. Africa expanded to meet this emerging demand.

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    Matt Watson, Precious Metals Commodity Management LLC

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(925) 321-2686

MattWatson@PreciousMetalsCommodityManagement.com
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